Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 9.846961 11.268161 12.835890 14.695778 16.845059 19.254240 22.164407
2025-09-14 7.969310 9.822212 12.032179 14.870817 18.432722 22.770470 28.478381
2025-09-21 6.777953 8.805082 11.360998 14.836716 19.465862 25.454875 33.848531
2025-09-28 5.882310 7.973716 10.732270 14.662470 20.159697 27.636682 38.681048
2025-10-05 5.420325 7.627737 10.657419 15.156086 21.729424 31.080326 45.563483
2025-10-12 5.013978 7.294350 10.536917 15.533068 23.125634 34.373033 52.560433
2025-10-19 4.719222 7.077912 10.542673 16.066517 24.772107 38.164040 60.710250
2025-10-26 4.234159 6.521781 9.979203 15.659298 24.903409 39.607271 65.267560
2025-11-02 3.864908 6.103367 9.578090 15.450293 25.301707 41.476591 70.687017
2025-11-09 3.552956 5.743337 9.229734 15.280597 25.727158 43.402814 76.380976
2025-11-16 3.272316 5.406749 8.884978 15.074912 26.055172 45.171062 81.960024
2025-11-23 3.010049 5.076486 8.519105 14.791994 26.207879 46.626140 87.098051
2025-11-30 2.921740 5.037648 8.647682 15.395837 28.022660 51.280805 98.893040
2025-12-07 2.771219 4.876787 8.549361 15.579376 29.078773 54.637540 108.568369
2025-12-14 2.602059 4.667422 8.345085 15.543542 29.707645 57.230590 116.997578
2025-12-21 2.428306 4.434783 8.077858 15.360454 30.025155 59.233018 124.419790
2025-12-28 2.363556 4.398741 8.170345 15.879137 31.785762 64.306757 139.032567
2026-01-04 2.287107 4.333645 8.201047 16.275298 33.330805 69.089051 153.595940
2026-01-11 2.234724 4.310321 8.309214 16.835940 35.272188 74.908647 171.257545
2026-01-18 2.075371 4.063434 7.956750 16.407958 35.046252 75.983109 177.916157
2026-01-25 1.951325 3.878064 7.713262 16.188309 35.253639 78.037520 187.183657
2026-02-01 1.841195 3.712842 7.498060 16.009980 35.534079 80.281555 197.196173
2026-02-08 1.735806 3.549708 7.274762 15.793837 35.705446 82.284680 206.846669